Tuesday, May 24, 2005

Labrador Results, what are the ramifications?

Well the Liberals won the riding, taking approximatly 50% of the vote. As I previously mentioned, this really doesn't mean a thing about how a future election could go as the Liberals were expected to win this seat. What makes this interesting is how now the Liberals and NDP can hold a majority...if Independant MP Chuck Cadman chooses to return to Surrey to complete his medical course, or abstains from voting, and if Independant MP Carolyn Parrish continues voting for the government. Independant MP David Kilgour I expect to continue voting against the government. I can see how Jack Layton could be tempted by the PMO to form an alliance, and the PMO tempted to offer one. It has already proved to be benficial to both sides, the Liberals still in power, and the NDP getting money for their sacrosanct social programs. But, if recent Saskatchewan history is any indicator, Mr. Layton should be careful about joining with the Liberals. When the Saskatchewan Liberals formed a coalition with the Provincial wing of the NDP, propping up the minority NDP government, in the next election the Liberals got spanked like a virgin in a Shanghai whorehouse. The Liberal party expelled the members that had sat with the NDP, and not only did none of the Liberals that sat with the NDP get re-elected under the NDP banner, but no Liberals were elected as well. Anecdotal evidence is that fear of Liberal MLAs just joining with the NDP and being lapdogs were cited as some reasons for being weary to vote Liberal. If Mr. Layton should choose to partner with the Liberal government, he should be careful, because it is his leadership and his party that face the greatest threat to parliamentary presence.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home